I’ve made a few predictions about politics and music this year. Let’s see how they’re doing.
That Liz Truss probably wouldn’t become British PM — completely wrong; my domestic political skills are found wanting — though I did note the Party was swinging towards Truss’ position. I never calculated how far. Lesson: Never underestimate the hard right.
That failing to make peace with Russia would drive it into China’s arms — completely correct.
That Lisa is the future of hip hop and global pop — probably correct.
That Sabrina Carpenter is the future of pop — possibly incorrect, given recent chart disappointment.
Here are my predictions in order of success:
1. International politics;
2. International music;
3. Domestic politics (UK); and
4. Domestic music (USA).
My political knowledge surpasses my musical knowledge, and my international focus is keener than my domestic focus (either on the UK or the US). I need to brush up on my sense for the market of music and my sense for the internal dynamics of countries. I will.